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Iran is positioning itself to enter nuclear talks with the U.S. not to change its doctrine, but to gain time to rebuild its military strength and regional influence. While suspending cooperation with the IAEA, Iran seeks guarantees for the safety of its scientists and facilities. It is unlikely to negotiate on its missile program but may accept stricter oversight to lift sanctions and avoid further Israeli or American attacks. Behind the scenes, Tehran aims to recover from recent security failures and reinforce its deterrent capabilities.

Following Assad’s fall, Israel has rapidly built military bases in southern Syria, violated buffer zones, and displaced civilians. Critics warn it’s not just about security, but seizing land while Syria’s new government is too weak to respond.